2:00PM Water Cooler 9/20/2023 | bare capitalism

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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Chicken Track of the Day

Rusty Mouse-Warbler, Mt. Hagen; Baiyer River Sanctuary, Western Highlands, Papua New Guinea. “I’ve heard this species mimic throughout territorial disputes. The species mimicked on this are: Coracina morio, Coracina boyeri(?), Dicrurus hottentottus, Merops ornatus(?), Cacomantis variolosus, Halcyon sp., Rhipidura rufiventris, Eudynamis scolopacea.” From 1975!

“Showcasing the spectacle of chicken migration” [BirdCast]. • I’m not a stone birder, so I don’t already learn about this. Cornell Lab of Ornithology concerned, which is sweet. Contains maps and lots of charts.

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Politics

“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are actually a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

The Constitutional Order

“States Can Implement Part Three of the Fourteenth Modification with out Any New Federal Laws” (PDF) [Free Speech for the People]. From Part IV (citations omitted):

In 2022 a New Mexico state courtroom utilized Part Three, pursuant to the state quo warranto statute, and eliminated Couy Griffin, a county commissioner, from workplace for partaking within the Capitol riot. See New Mexico ex rel. White v. Griffin… No particular federal laws was wanted. Equally, Georgia adopted Worthy’s method in addressing a Part Three poll problem in opposition to Consultant Marjorie Taylor Greene. See Rowan v. Raffensperger… .Whereas the executive legislation choose overseeing the state continuing (just like the Louisiana Supreme Courtroom in Downes) in the end concluded that there was inadequate proof to determine that Consultant Greene engaged in riot on January sixth, 2021, he particularly adopted Worthy and adjudicated the Part Three query on the deserves. —not to mention instructed that the problem couldn’t even be adjudicated absent a particular Act of Congress authorizing the problem. See, e.g., Greene, 599 F. Supp. 3d at 1319 (“”Plaintiff has pointed to no authority holding {that a} state is barred from evaluating whether or not a candidate meets the constitutional necessities for workplace or imposing such necessities””). The actions of those courts comport with the holding of Choose (now Justice) Gorsuch that “”.”” Hassan v. Colorado, 495 Fed. App’x 947, 948 (tenth Cir. 2012) (Gorsuch, J.) (rejecting problem to state’s exclusion of a naturalized presidential candidate from poll).13 Nothing materially differentiates Part Three from different constitutional {qualifications} for workplace, or from different questions underneath the U.S. Structure that state courts routinely adjudicate with no particular act of Congress instructing them to take action when the query correctly arises in a state legislation continuing.

Quoting Gorsuch. Cheeky!

* * *

“The Sweep and Pressure of Part Three” [William Baude and Michael Stokes Paulsen, University of Pennsylvania Law Review]. I extremely suggest this piece (and the following dialogue at NC, beginning right here). As a former English main and a fan of shut studying, I’m not averse to “originalism,” of which Baude and Paulsen present a magisterial instance, within the sense that understanding the legislation as a textual content should start with understanding the plain, public which means of the phrases used when the textual content was written. That’s how I learn Shakespeare, or Joyce, so why not the Structure? Simply so long as understanding doesn’t finish there! In any case, I’m working by it. One factor I discover is that there do appear to have been moderately lots of rebellions and insurrections, not simply the Civil Struggle. To me, that is parallel to at least one lesson I drew from Mike Duncan’s Revolutions podcast (episode 1): There are moderately lots of revolutions, too. Alert reader Pensions Man summarizes Baude and Paulsen as follows:

The authors undergo an exhaustive textual and originalism evaluation of Part Three, and their Federalist Society leanings don’t deter them from reaching their conclusion that officers in each State who’re charged with figuring out candidate {qualifications} ought to conclude that Donald Trump is disqualified from being on ballots due to the oath he took on Inauguration Day 2017 and subsequently violated by his position within the riot that happened on January 6, 2021.

Taking “riot” as learn (I have to do extra studying), this has been extra of my persevering with protection of Part Three.

Biden Administration

“Biden, Lula to launch partnership on employees’ rights amid labor strikes in U.S.” [The Hill]. “President Biden and Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will launch the U.S.-Brazil Partnership for Employees’ Rights on Wednesday, with the objectives of advancing employees’ rights and stopping employee exploitation. The give attention to employees’ rights from Biden comes because the United Auto Employees started its historic strike in opposition to the Massive Three automakers Friday, when the perimeters didn’t efficiently negotiate a brand new contract. The Biden administration has been concerned with pushing each side to succeed in a deal, and Biden has deployed officers to Detroit to assist with an answer. When requested in regards to the timing of the announcement with Brazil amid the automaker strike, in addition to the continued writers strike, a senior administration official stated, ‘nothing about this initiative ought to be interpreted as discouraging or limiting the precise to strike.’” • Fascinating thought, although don’t now we have the ILO and the AFL-CIO (granted, infested by spooks) for this?  

2024

Time for the Countdown Clock!

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“What the Polls Say Right now: Trump’s Rivals Want a New Technique, Quick” [Ed Kilgore, New York Magazine]. “So in the present day, 4 months earlier than the voting section of the competition begins, Trump’s degree of help within the nationwide RealClearPolitics polling averages has reached an all-time excessive of 56.6 p.c. DeSantis is at an all-time low of 12.7 p.c in the identical averages, and no one else is above the mid-single digits (Trump’s trusty wingman Vivek Ramaswamy is third at 7.2 p.c). The more and more compelling query, then, is how, precisely, do Trump’s rivals suppose they’re going to convey him down? All of the methods during which he was imagined to have self-destructed by now have turned out to be illusions. And no one apart from the more and more feeble DeSantis has ever been ready to function something apart from a minor nuisance to the forty fifth president.” And: “[A]t this level, GOP major voters really consider Trump is their most electable candidate, and the polls don’t contradict that assumption, both. All in all, the candidates hoping to supplant Trump have to shortly give you new and direct criticisms of the front-runner that major voters should buy, or discover methods to make themselves incandescently interesting. The time for hoping Trump will defeat himself has handed.” • Hilarity ensues. Do you see any “incandescently interesting” Republican candidates?

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“There’s a easy reply to questions on Biden’s age. Why gained’t Democrats say it?” [Perry Bacon, WaPo]. The lead: “The reply to questions on Biden’s age is straightforward: ‘Sure, there’s an opportunity Vice President Harris turns into president — and that may be advantageous.’” No, it very wouldn’t, although Bacon offers it the ol’ school attempt: “If you’re speaking to a good friend who’s undecided or most likely voting for Biden, however apprehensive about him being so outdated, attempt one thing like this: “”President Biden is flying world wide, giving lengthy speeches and making tons of difficult choices. He’s very as much as the job proper now. I hope and anticipate he’ll have the ability to serve his full four-year second time period if reelected. That stated, he’s 80 — so nobody can promise he will probably be in nice well being in 2028. However Vice President Harris after all might step in if wanted. She has loads of expertise — and the presidency isn’t a single individual anyway. The entire folks serving to Biden could be by her facet, too. And a President Harris could be a lot better than a President Trump.” • So, summarizing, we must always vote for Biden’s employees? Actually? The identical individuals who obtained us right into a dropping proxy conflict with Russia and killed extra folks than Trump with Covid?

“Spinning the Press on Hunter Biden” [Lee Fang, RealClearInvestigations]. An excellent evaluate. “Throughout President Obama’s second time period, then-Vice President Joe Biden was the administration’s level man on the nation’s coverage towards Ukraine, a perch he used to induce the nation to withstand ‘the most cancers of corruption’ and enact sweeping ethics reforms. On the time, some American journalists started to query whether or not the vice chairman’s stern message was undermined by his son Hunter Biden’s employment on the Ukrainian power agency Burisma, which was owned by a infamous native oligarch. Emails on Hunter’s laptop computer reveal that the inquiries sparked an inside debate inside his workforce of consultants and public relations brokers. Finally, they devised a collection of responses about Hunter’s work with Burisma that had been, at finest, deceptive and, at worst, outright falsehoods. . The laptop computer emails present that the workforce intently monitored important reporting and pushed to form protection with reporters from the New York Instances, Time journal, the Wall Road Journal, and the Related Press. Their spin knowledgeable a lot of the following protection within the mainstream press, defusing the problem, whilst President Trump and different Republicans insisted that Ukraine was a hotbed of Biden household corruption. Though he had no background within the power subject and little expertise in company governance, Hunter Biden, who had a legislation diploma, was appointed to the board of Burisma in Could 2014. It was revealed later that he was paid about $1 million per yr – as was his enterprise companion Devon Archer.”

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“Oliver Anthony’s Treatment for the ‘Wealthy Males North of Richmond’” [Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., RFK, Jr.’s Policies + Politics]. “Oliver Anthony’s anthem captures the overwhelming sense of despair amongst our working poor as they watch the American Dream disintegrate together with any hope that their kids will lead higher lives. ‘I’ve been sellin’ my soul, workin’ all day / Overti me hours for bullshit pay / So I can sit out right here and waste my life away / Drag again dwelling and drown my troubles away.’ Oliver’s track is an anthem of angst representing hitherto invisible males in a declining empire whose dream has develop into a nightmare. His track vividly depicts the nexus of state and company energy that resides contained in the D.C. Beltway, 110 miles north of Richmond. Oliver understands how this energy complicated has systematically strip-mined Individuals of their fairness, their hope, even their sanity. These in energy have made a mockery of our declare to being the world’s exemplary democracy, and Oliver calls out the totalitarian taste of financial oligarchy: These “”wealthy males north of Richmond”” who’re steadily shifting wealth upwards need, in his phrases, ‘whole management,’ these males who ‘wanna know what you suppose, wanna know what you do.’” That’s the stuff to offer the troops! And: “Oliver sees America’s disaster as a category conflict, and he’s distressed by the id politics that hold the working poor locked in orchestrated battle with one another: Left vs. Proper, Republican vs. Democrat, Black vs. White.” Then once more: “Oliver described this challenge throughout his latest podcast with Jordan Peterson.” • Oy. I suppose it’s a must to meet folks the place they’re, however oy,

* * *

“Easy methods to Suppose Like a Thinker” [Cornel West (Amfortas the Hippie)]. The deck: “Cornel walks you thru his private philosophy, explaining how .” Feels like West — that is not an endorsement — could be seemed on with favor by NC readers! From the pattern transcript:

Socrates is a determine that the Greeks name a tapos. A tapos Means unclassifiable, unsubsumable. There’ll by no means be one label that totally accounts for who he was. Socrates exemplified a manner of being, a way of life within the centrality of questioning, interrogating, scrutinizing in a quest for fact. The mentor, the grasp– he used to have masterclasses proper there within the public area. He used to have the younger of us sit, and he would ask, what’s justice– as in ‘Republic’; what’s braveness within the ‘Laches;’ what’s information within the ‘Theaetetus’– these elenchus types of inquiry– what’s, what’s, what’s?

So he went round and requested these questions of the folks he thought had been the wisest…

(Elenchus is the Socratic technique.) West’s college students will need to have been very, very fortunate to have him as a instructor. (And if I had been West’s marketing campaign supervisor — Yo, Peter Daou! — I’d be getting testimonials from a few of these college students and working them as a marketing campaign advert.()

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Republican Funhouse

“Why McCarthy’s margin issues” [CNN]. “McCarthy can solely afford to lose 4 Republican members on a Home vote, relying on what number of total lawmakers are voting. To move most Republican priorities, he must win the help of each far-right Republicans in addition to the moderates in districts President Joe Biden gained in 2020.” • Helpful chart:

“Home GOP bridge-burners are eyeing the exits” [Axios]. • “Exits” like: To CNN, as state AG, governor, Senator, as Trump’s VP, or in his cupboard.

Democrats en Déshabillé

Affected person readers, plainly persons are really studying the back-dated put up! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are various updates. So I should do this. –lambert

I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Occasion (“the Democrat Occasion is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated put up, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “dwell” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Occasion is, actually, a tough drawback. I do suppose the paragraph that follows is on level all the best way again to 2016, if not earlier than:

The Democrat Occasion is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Hear, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Occasion didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” after all.) Second, all of the working components of the Occasion reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between parts of the Occasion (ka-ching, however not solely) these parts comprise a community — a Flex Internet? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with property within the press and the intelligence group.

Word, after all, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different lessons; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.

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“The place Has All of the Left-Wing Cash Gone?” [Michelle Golderg, The New York Times]. “Panic is setting in amongst some progressive teams as a result of the donors who buoyed them all through the Trump years are disengaging. ‘Donations to progressive organizations are manner down in 2023 throughout the board,’ stated a latest memo from Billy Wimsatt, govt director of the Motion Voter Venture, a company based in 2016 that channels funds to group organizers, largely in swing states, who have interaction and provoke voters…. As each huge and small donors pull again, there have been layoffs throughout the progressive ecosystem, from behemoths just like the Sierra Membership to rebel outfits like Justice Democrats… This isn’t nearly political operatives dropping their jobs: It signifies that organizations that ought to be build up their turnout operations for subsequent yr are as a substitute having to downsize. And it speaks to a temper of liberal apathy and disenchantment that Democrats can’t afford forward of one other grueling election.” Apparently, I’m not the one one which hates Mothership Methods: “One small, attribute piece of this drawback — and maybe the simplest half to unravel — includes the best way Democrats use electronic mail. For those who’re on any progressive mailing lists, you absolutely know what I’m speaking about: the limitless appeals, typically in daring all caps, warning of imminent Democratic implosion. (Current topic traces in my inbox embrace, ‘We are able to kiss our Senate majority goodbye’ and ‘This isn’t wanting good.’) Within the quick time period, these emails are efficient, which is why campaigns use them. Over time, they encourage a mixture of cynicism and helplessness — exactly the sentiments main too many individuals to withdraw from political involvement.”

“Lawsuit Finds Hyperlink Between Dem Megadonor SBF, Mother and father, and Democratic Darkish Cash Behemoth Arabella Advisors” [Washington Free Beacon]. “The daddy of disgraced cryptocurrency kingpin Sam Bankman-Fried sat on the advisory board of the liberal darkish cash behemoth Arabella Advisors and sure had entry to the group’s funds, a federal lawsuit filed in opposition to Bankman-Fried’s mother and father on Tuesday charged….. The swimsuit additionally reveals that FTX had a particular association with the biggest Arabella affiliate, the New Enterprise Fund, by which the crypto buying and selling agency and its donors might contribute to ‘choose charitable causes.’…. Arabella’s community of 5 nonprofit funds, which wouldn’t have to reveal their donors, have spent billions of {dollars} working an unlimited array of left-wing advocacy teams that current themselves to the general public as grassroots initiatives…. Arabella claims it solely supplies back-office administrative help to New Enterprise Fund and the opposite nonprofit funds in its community. However paperwork obtained by the Free Beacon present Arabella wields centralized management over the funds, which hauled in a mixed $3.3 billion in 2020 and 2021 and used these sources to function a whole bunch of Democratic tasks throughout the nation. Every of these tasks is managed by a workforce of Arabella staff, together with an account supervisor and a managing director.” • It’s a must to surprise if the “panic” described above by Michelle Goldberg is being attributable to the SBF debacle (and it will be moderately pleasing if all these Democrat NGOs had been actually financed by fraudsters).

“Main Progressive Donors, Together with Swiss Overseas Nationwide Hansjörg Wyss, Funded Press Herald Buy and Are Funding But One other Information Outlet in Maine” [The Maine Wire]. “The vast majority of each day information shops in Maine at the moment are bankrolled by a few of the nation’s largest donors to the Democratic Occasion and left-wing curiosity teams. Mega donors George Soros and Swiss international nationwide Hansjörg Wyss are among the many uber rich progressives which can be bankrolling a brand new ‘non-partisan’ information outlet in Maine, the Maine Morning Star, by the left-wing nonprofit States Newsroom…. Wyss, who grew a billion greenback fortune within the medical gadget business, and Soros, who turned a billionaire by foreign money hypothesis and different investments, at the moment are financially concerned with the Portland Press Herald, the Kennebec Journal and Waterville Morning Sentinel (now mixed as CentralMaine.com), the Lewiston Solar Journal, and the Brunswick Instances File…. States Newsroom, like dozens of liberal political teams in Maine, has been funded by progressive donors, together with main contributions from the Wyss Basis in addition to the North Fund and the Hopewell Fund, two funds managed by Arabella Advisors.” • [family blogging] out-of-staters.

The Bush Legacy

There was dialogue in Hyperlinks this morning on Florida 2000, the election that gave us George W. Bush. There have been lots of transferring components to this story, which continued after Bush was inaugurated:

“So, who actually gained? What the Bush v. Gore research confirmed” [CNN]. evaluate. “Months after the USA Supreme Courtroom delivered its ruling to cease the statewide hand recount within the Sunshine State, media and tutorial organizations carried out their very own research of the disputed ballots in Florida. Taken as an entire, the recount research present Bush would have most definitely gained the Florida statewide hand recount of all undervotes. Undervotes are ballots that didn’t register a vote within the presidential race.” And: “The research additionally present that Gore doubtless would have gained a statewide recount of all undervotes and overvotes, that are ballots that included a number of votes for president and had been thus not counted in any respect. .” • The 60,000 determine is the variety of undervotes. CNN summarizes a number of research. One factoid unremarked by all sides: 300,000 Democrats who voted for Bush price Gore the election (and never Nader, both). Sadly, to the most effective of my recollection, the 300,000 determine got here from Jim Hightower, and he didn’t quote a major supply,

Realignment and Legitimacy

“‘Sound of Freedom’ Producer Felt the Bare Breasts of Apparently Underage Trafficking Sufferer” [Vice] • At this level, I really feel in regards to the phrase “freedom” the identical manner I really feel about “innovation”: Whoever is utilizing it’s a con artist of some sort.

#COVID19

“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Basic Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).

Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the deal with given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!

Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).

Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3). 

Keep protected on the market!

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Search for the Helpers

“Expensive Colleagues”:

The conclusion:

We ask the Medical Associations to advocate for the event of long-term methods to handle this well being disaster. We ask that you just reinvigorate the thought of prevention! Additionally it is important to extend collaboration inside the medical group and to facilitate the sharing of data and information associated to COVID-19 and its sequelae. Now could be the time to display management, unity, and an unwavering dedication to the well-being of the final inhabitants. By making use of a complete, strategic, and sustained method, we will successfully management the transmission and impression of SARS-CoV-2 by easy means. We’re assured that you’ll present dedication to our occupation and promote the very best  requirements of affected person security and care. We hope to listen to from you quickly, and sit up for working with you.

I hope that is legit, as a result of as normal the Google finds nothing on it.

Maskstravaganza

It’s laborious to learn this thread with out concluding that each Administrations destroyed the home masks business, which is a tricky enterprise:

(I ought to actually do a display screen dump of the entire piece, however I’m not at my huge display screen simply now.)

Variants

Extra on BA.2.86:

It might be good if CDC’s traveler’s genomics challenge weren’t weeks behind. In any case, loads of flights from Switzerland to the US.

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Case Knowledge

NOT UPDATED From BioBot wastewater information, September 18:

Lambert right here: The nationwide drop is due solely to the South. Different indicators — scattered and partial although they be — additionally converge on a drop: ER visits, positivity. We will see. (I would come with CDC’s wastewater map for comparability, nevertheless it’s eleven days outdated.)

Regional information:

The identical regional variation additionally seems within the Walgreen’s positivity information. Apparently, the upswing begins earlier than July 4, which neither accelerates nor retards it.

Variants                 

NOT UPDATED From CDC, September 16:

Lambert right here: Prime of the leaderboard: EG.5 (“Eris“). Nonetheless BA.2.86 right here, not even within the word, however see beneath at Positivity.

From CDC, September 2:

Lambert right here: Unsure what to make of this. I’m used to seeing a brand new variant take down the beforehand dominant variant. Right here it seems like now we have a “tag workforce,” all working collectively to chop XBB.1.5 all the way down to dimension. I certain hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart relies upon, don’t all transfer on the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their entry to services reduce by directors of in poor health intent).

CDC: “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance information will probably be reported biweekly, primarily based on the provision of optimistic take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice every week; semiweekly.” Appears like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.

Covid Emergency Room Visits

From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, September 16:

NOTE “Charts and information supplied by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous yr, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not the whole pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “similar to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is acceptable for eachMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these folks a lot. Discover additionally that this chart exhibits, at the very least for its time interval, that Covid is not seasonal, although CDC is attempting to get us to consider that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the prevailing institutional equipment for injections.

Hospitalization

NOT UPDATED Bellwether New York Metropolis, information as of September 19:

Drop continues. I hate this metric as a result of the lag makes it misleading.

NOT UPDATED Right here’s a unique CDC visualization on hospitalization, nationwide, not by state, however with a date, at the very least. September 9:

Word the slight drop, according to Walgreens. At the least now we now that hospitalization tracks positivity, which is sweet. Even when we don’t know what number of circumstances there are.

Positivity

NOT UPDATED From Walgreens, September 18:

-8.3%. An infinite drop (so not Labor Day information). Nonetheless, I can not recall seeing the map so polarized; a lot deep inexperienced, a lot deep crimson. Absolutely the numbers are nonetheless very small relative to June 2022, say. Apparently, these don’t correlate with the regional figures for wastewater. (It might be fascinating to survey this inhabitants typically; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and massive peer stress, went and obtained examined anyhow.)

NOT UPDATED Cleveland Clinic, September 16:

Lambert right here: I do know that is simply Ohio, however the Cleveland Clinic is nice*, and we’re starved for information, so…. NOTE * Even when hospital an infection management is attempting to kill sufferers by eliminating common masking with N95s.

NOT UPDATED From CDC, traveler’s information, August 26:

A drop! And listed here are the variants:

No BA.2.86 for 2 of the long-delayed assortment weeks. I’ve highlighted the 2 leaders: EG.5 and FL.1.5.1. Apparently, these are the 2 leaders inside the USA additionally, suggesting the nationwide and worldwide bouillabaisse is comparable. Or we’re infecting the world.

Deaths

NOT UPDATED Iowa COVID-19 Tracker, September 13:

Lambert right here: The WHO information is nugatory, so I changed it with the Iowa Covid Knowledge Tracker. Their technique: “These information have been sourced, through the API from the CDC: https://information.cdc.gov/NCHS/Situations-Contributing-to-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Stat/hk9y-quqm. This visualization updates on Wednesday evenings. Knowledge are provisional and are adjusted weekly by the CDC.” I can’t appear to get a pop-up that exhibits a complete of the three causes (high proper). Readers?

Whole: 1,175,395 – 1,175,354 – 1,175,172 = 41 (41 * 365 = 14965 deaths per yr, in the present day’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “dwelling with” Covid (fairly a bit increased than the minimizers would really like, although they will discuss themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I could should determine that is what the powers-that-be contemplate “mission completed” for this explicit tranche of dying and illness). 

Extra Deaths

Stats Watch

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Tech: “Franzen, Grisham and Different Distinguished Authors Sue OpenAI” [New York Times]. “Greater than a dozen authors filed a lawsuit in opposition to OpenAI on Tuesday, accusing the corporate, which has been backed with billions of {dollars} in funding from Microsoft, of infringing on their copyrights through the use of their books to coach its widespread ChatGPT chatbot. The grievance, which was filed together with the Authors Guild, stated that OpenAI’s chatbots can now produce ‘by-product works’ that may mimic and summarize the authors’ books, probably harming the marketplace for authors’ work, and that the writers had been neither compensated nor notified by the corporate. ‘,’ the grievance stated.” • The Silicon Valley maxim that “it’s higher to apologize moderately than permission” will be translated, on this context, into “Hey, what’s unsuitable with just a little “authentic accumulation”?

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Right now’s Concern & Greed Index: 52 Impartial (earlier shut: 48 Concern) [CNN]. One week in the past: 51 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Sep 20 at 1:40:21 PM ET

Groves of Academe

“How Sam Bankman-Fried’s Elite Mother and father Enabled His Crypto Empire” [Bloomberg]. This ought to be learn along side the fabric on Arabella underneath Democrats en Déshabillé. The entire piece is effectively price a learn for element on the Bankman-Fried milieu, however this on Stanford itself: “After which there’s Stanford itself. Bankman-Fried’s arrest got here only a month after Elizabeth Holmes was sentenced to 11 years in jail in reference to fraud at her medical gadget firm, Theranos Inc. She’d based the corporate on campus as a pupil and had recruited well-known school members to function staff and administrators. The Holmes case—coupled with the resignation of Stanford President Marc Tessier-Lavigne over allegations of manipulated information in a number of tutorial papers—has prompted some professors and college students to ask why the college hasn’t been faster to determine circumstances of misbehavior.” • There’s no such factor as “misbehavior” in a home of ill-fame, which is what Stanford — dwelling of the Nice Barrington Declaration — has develop into. Donald Knuth, had been he useless, could be rolling his grave.

Class Warfare

“Electrical car jobs are booming within the anti-union South. UAW is apprehensive” [CNN]. “Whereas the entire Massive Three’s crops are unionized, not a single plant within the South is unionized…. Automakers’ transition to electrical automobiles is accelerating these regional tendencies. Ford and GM are constructing battery crops beneath the Mason-Dixon Line, the place states have legal guidelines that make unionization a lot more durable than within the conventional working-class bastions of the Midwest. UAW leaders and union supporters fear the shift will decrease compensation and reduce out unions from the auto business’s future, and they’re searching for to deal with these issues in talks with the Massive Three. Virtually as alarming for the UAW is that EVs require fewer components and, accordingly, much less labor to assemble than gas-powered vehicles. Jobs at nonunion EV battery services pay lower than the roughly $32 an hour that veteran UAW employees make. ‘The stability is shifting in favor of the Southeast over the Midwest,’ S&P World Market Intelligence stated in a latest report on auto business jobs. ‘The South is poised to take a larger portion of US car manufacturing within the years forward.’” • Not “the South.” Capital, invested within the South.

Information of the Wired

I’m not wired in the present day.

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Contact data for crops: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a verify if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photos of crops. Greens are advantageous! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you would like your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it in the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From EMM:

EMM writes: “Hollies are pound for pound the hardest bushes I’ve come throughout. They appear to thrive in areas the place you wouldn’t anticipate crops to develop they usually can take a pasting.”

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